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Bill James Wants To Help You Relax [Bill James]

we’ve noticed the sabermetric baseball prospectus-classification guys doing a great deal b much of work in the world of college basketball lately. it seems to fit. there’s plenty of statistics to fake with, but unlike the nba, college basketball can unmoving be painted with the same brush of blissful, presumed philosophic “innocence” that people authorize to baseball. makes gist to us: those are our two favorite sports too.

Anyway, Bill James, Mr. Smiling Don Quixote Baseball Face, writes in Slate today that he has figured out how a lead in college basketball is “safe.”

* subsume the calculate of points one team is in front.* take off three.* add a half-point if the unite that is ahead has the ball, and diminish a half-point if the other team has the ball. (numbers less than zero enhance zero.)* square that.* if the issue is greater than the crowd of seconds left in the game, the prima donna is unpolluted.

Who said James was just about math? We’re not sure we understand this, considering how fluid the definition of the word “safe” is. (We assure you, Wisconsin’s lead was “safe” five minutes into the second half yesterday; doesn’t the pace of the game and the number of possessions have anything to do with anything? Who said anything about time?) But we’re sure Mr. James has enjoyed it while chilling at a bunch of Jayhawks blowouts.

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By the way, James is now online! Great! Sweet! Oh … wait … subscription only. Nevermind.

The Lead Is Safe [Slate]

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